A European first, yes. The closing of the Red Waters, maybe.
“Today, we turn a page in the book of our nation’s history – a history that we write together.” So said Vaughan Gething, following his narrow victory against Jeremy Miles in the Welsh Labour leadership race. Indeed, his win marks an important moment in Welsh and European politics. Today, following a vote in the Senedd, […]
When Will The Election Be? Scenario Four: January ’25

The right to choose the General Election date is one of the few residual advantages that Rishi Sunak enjoys as we approach the coming campaign. In this post, we consider Sunak’s final option, a January 2025 election.
When Will The Election Be? Scenario Three: October/November ’24

The right to choose the General Election date is one of the few residual advantages that Rishi Sunak enjoys as we approach the coming campaign.
In this post, we consider an autumn election in October or November 2024.
When Will The Election Be? Scenario Two: Summer ’24

The right to choose the General Election date is one of the few residual advantages that Rishi Sunak enjoys as we approach the coming campaign.
In this post, we consider Sunak’s second option, a summer 2024 election.
When Will The Election Be? Scenario One: May ’24

The right to choose the General Election date is one of the few residual advantages that Rishi Sunak enjoys as we approach the coming campaign.
In this post, we consider Sunak’s first option, a May 2024 election.
When Will The Election Be? Four Scenarios

The right to choose the General Election date is one of the few residual advantages that Rishi Sunak enjoys as we approach the coming campaign.
Over the course of this week, we will lay out the various scenarios available to Sunak and his team, and some of the metrics they are considering.
Kemi Badenoch’s Mission in Abu Dhabi: Insights from WTO’s 13th Ministerial Conference
This week over 150 trade ministers from around the world gathered in Abu Dhabi for the WTO’s 13th Ministerial Conference (MC13) many commentators have been pessimistic about the prospects for a successful event. Secretary of State for Business and Trade, and the front runner to be the next Conservative Party leader, Kemi Badenoch is leading […]
Power Shifts and Ballot Boxes: How Elections in 40 Countries Could Shape the World in 2024

2024 is a critical year for democracy in the world. According to the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance’s (IDEA) annual report, democracy remains fragile, stagnant at best, and declining across every region in the world. This new year offers an unprecedented opportunity for dramatic change. In 2024, 3.2 billion people, across 40 countries, […]
Labour’s Tax Landscape: How Labour’s Tax Policy Has Followed The Twists And Turns of Starmer’s Leadership
Keir Starmer’s leadership of the Labour Party has charted a three-stage course – firstly, internal reform of the Labour Party; secondly defining the Conservative brand as broken whilst setting up camp on the centre ground; and finally outlining Labour’s agenda for change. As the Party’s tax policy has unfolded, it too has followed the twists […]
The Next Tory Leader: The Race to Replace Rishi
Rishi Sunak is the third Tory leader in little more than a year. The public are still getting used to this PM – as well as the unexpected return of his predecessor as Foreign Secretary. But increasingly people within the Conservative Party are openly discussing who will be their next leader in 2024, if the […]